Formerly the “Property Planner, Buyer and Professor” podcast
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Capital City Highlights
The Trio unpack which cities are still leading the charge.
Brisbane (1.2% monthly growth) edges out Darwin (1.0%), while Perth and Adelaide also post strong gains.
Darwin continues to lead nationally on an annualised basis… but how much longer can these hot markets run?
Source: Cotality
Melbourne and Market Segmentation
Official growth looks soft, but competition on the ground tells a different story.
The Trio reveal how upgraders are pushing the middle of the market hardest, while data shows the 50th percentile outperforming both the top and bottom quartiles.
National Trends
Every capital city except Hobart has shown growth over the past three months.
Melbourne may be lagging on paper, but it’s only 3% off its 2022 peak.
In Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth, the lowest quartile is leading, suggesting investors and latecomers are fueling this cycle’s final stages.
Spring Stock & Footy Fever
Spring has started, but listings haven’t fully surged.
In Melbourne, the property market doesn’t typically hit full stride until after the AFL season, with October traditionally bringing a wave of new stock.
For now, agent appraisal activity is strong, but stock remains tight.
Sellers are hesitant to list until they’ve secured their next home, creating a tricky balancing act: lock in strong results now or risk being left without a roof in a rising market.
Darwin and Brisbane show sharp annual contractions in stock, aligning with their recent strong performances.
Melbourne and Hobart are also down year-on-year, reflecting weaker sentiment and more cautious vendors.
But historically, spring swells supply while buyer demand holds steady.
Source: SQM Research
Global Jitters, Confidence Flitters
Despite a rate cut sparking buyer activity, confidence in the economy has dropped.
Global conflict and local unrest may be weighing on Australians’ mindset, even as house price expectations remain firm.
Source: Westpac-Melbourne Institute
Resources
The Property Planner’s Monthly Market Update
And if you’ve enjoyed this show, take a listen to these eps:
- Ep. 12: Property Cycle Management – why now is always the best time to buy if it suits your personal economy and you have a long-term property plan
- Ep. 158: How interest rate cycles have impacted the property market since 1990 when the RBA first started targeting the cash rate and some predictions on what will happen this time
- Ep. 164: Analysing regional locations – What investment principles can be gleaned from the highest performing regions in each state? Comparing capital city vs regional performance from 2003 – before and after covid
- Ep. 169: Houses vs units – Capital growth performance in capital cities and regions over the last 20 years and which locations have units outperformed houses and why?
- Ep. 313: The History of Property Prices After Rate Cuts – 40 Years of Data, Houses vs Units, Capitals vs Regions & Predictions
