The Property Planner’s Monthly Market Update: Feb 2025

Welcome to the Property Planner’s Monthly Market Update, your comprehensive resource for the latest insights and trends in the real estate and economic landscape!

Stay informed and ahead of the curve with our expert analysis, helping you make well-informed decisions in the ever-evolving property market.

Melbourne Leads Capital Growth in February

Melbourne recorded the strongest monthly growth among capital cities (+0.67% PropTrack, +0.4% CoreLogic).  

Is this the beginning of a turn-around for Melbourne after 10 months of declining values? 

Source: PropTrack

Upper Quartile Rebounding

The most expensive properties in Sydney and Melbourne saw the biggest gains after sharp declines during the downturn.

The Trio break down what these quartile shifts reveal about market cycles and future trends.

Source: CoreLogic

Capital Cities vs Regional Markets

Regional markets have outperformed capital cities in recent years and on average over the last decade.  

This may have never happened before, but with Sydney and Melbourne showing signs of recovery, could capitals take back the lead in 2025? 

Source: CoreLogic

Consumer Sentiment on the RiseVictorians Think That its Time To Buy a Dwelling’ 

The “Time to Buy a Dwelling” index rose by 17.8% over the last 12 months up to 91.6 with another jump of 4.3% in February. 

Victorians in particular think it’s a good time to buy, with the market surging past 100 up to 106, meaning more Victorians now believe it’s a good time to purchase. 

Source:Westpac-Melbourne Institute

Investor Lending Still Strong Despite a Quarterly Dip

Investor loans fell 4.5% in the last quarter of 2024 but remain 13.2% higher year-on-year.  

Was this a cyclical move as Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane bull markets start to wind down? 

Source: CoreLogic/ABS

Vacancy Rates Ticking Up

More rental properties are available, with Sydney’s vacancy rate rising over the year from 1.1% to 1.5% and Melbourne’s from 1.0% to 1.8%. 

But vacancy rates remain historically low and well below 3%, the accepted level for rental market equilibrium from a supply and demand perspective. 

Source: SQM Research

Economic Uncertainty Ahead

How global instability, potential U.S. tariffs and geopolitical risks could impact interest rates and inflation, creating uncertainty for property markets. 

Source: ABS

Where is the Market Heading Next?

With Melbourne and Sydney showing signs of renewed momentum, could 2025 be a turning point for the two big capital cities and the changing of the guard from the mid-tier capitals that we have been monitoring for the last 6 months? 

Interested to Learn More?

Listen to the Property Trio podcast for more market insights and expert analysis that you can’t afford to miss!

#301: Market Update Feb 25 – Melbourne Takes the Lead in Value Growth, Upper Quartile Drives Recovery and Buyer Sentiment Rises

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